ANALYSIS , FACTOR , FACTOR ,
WHICH , MEMIMPRESII , DEVELOPMENT INDEX HUMAN IN INCREASING GROWTH EKONOI
INDONESIA IN NORTH SUMATRA
Nur Abda Amalia,
Sari Wulandari, Elyyza Cindi Mentari,
Beautiful Mutiara Rizky, Junita Wulandari Dalimunthe,
Ricky Pane, 6 Usman Affandy Purba �
North
Sumatra State Islamic University Medan, Indonesia
[email protected] , [email protected]
ABSTRACT |
It aims to establish the human development index in North Sumatra based on the
facts and assessments conducted. The kind of data utilized in this study is quantitative data and the data delivery is secondary
data received from the North Sumatra Province's Central Bureau of Statistics.
This research employs panel data which is a combination of Time Series
and Cross Section data for the period 2015-2020. According to Capita the factors
considered include the rise in Economic
Growth Poverty and Direct Expenditure.
The Fixed Effect Model
(FEM) and Eviews 10 with an estimating
tool are used in this study's analytical technique. Which has a regression stop end result showing
that Economic Growth has a widespread negative impact on the Human Development Index Poverty has a widespread negative impact on the Human Development Index and Direct Expenditures
per Capita has a widespread
positive impact on the Human Development Index.
Then there's a link between the Human Development Index and
Economic Growth Poverty and Direct
Expenditure in Line with Capita. |
Keywords: North Sumatra Province, Human Development Index, Economic Growth,
Poverty, Direct Expenditure per Capita |
*Correspondent
Author : Nur Abda Amalia
Email : [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
In simple terms, improvement can be interpreted as an effort or
procedure that can trigger change. This repair procedure
covers all aspects of people's
lives, including aspects of finance, politics, social and culture. Economic improvement is the procedure
of changing the situation for
the better for prosperity and improvement and prosperity for the better. In
the discourse of economic improvement, financial improvement is similar to creating, maintaining and growing state revenues
in general. The financial
boom is an
indicator of overall financial capacity both at
the national and regional (regional) levels.
According to Todaro (Yunitasari, 2007) financial boom is a procedure in which the level of the financial
system will increase from time
to time to
obtain a better level of income. Indonesia's financial boom fell with
3% use-aid from 6% to 3% between 2010 and 2020.
The human improvement index
is a single measurement tool that is useful
for determining financial improvement because it measures
the level of physical and spiritual satisfaction of the community, especially indicators of educational and financial health
levels (Suliswanto M. SW, 2010). As a result, humans are seen as a true source of prosperity
and nation building. The ability of society to
capture and process the supply
of financial growth related to each age
and company with the aim
of achieving financial growth is mainly determined
by the level of human progress that continues to develop.
Sumber : BPS
The economic boom is considered as one of the
maximum vital signs in conducting an overall
capacity assessment in the monetary system
the main problem is to examine the
effects of monetary improvement efforts that have
been carried out through the
countryside or regions. . If the product production and supply will
increase from the previous year
to the modern year it continues
to increase. The economic boom will
show how monetary entertainment will generate network
profits in a positive period. An economic system is considered
to be experiencing
a boom if all actual wages
for the use
of manufactured goods in a given year are more than
in the previous year. The indicator used to measure
the monetary boom is the
price boom of the Gross
Regional Domestic Product
(GDP) which is based entirely on regular prices
(Dewi & Sutrisna, 2015).
Kuznets describes
monetary growth as an increase in the long-term potential in rural areas for
various commodities and services (Yunitasari, 2007). Todaro (2003) states that things that
can increase monetary growth can be implemented
in three basic components. The first is capital accumulation
which includes a new type of
investment in the field of body
electronic land and human capital which is also
known as human resources. Second, with the
increase in population, the rate of
labor will increase. The three technological advances may be able
to improve traditional labor techniques (in Pambudi 2013). Long-term increases
in rural finance can be supported
by an increase
in the stock of physical capital
and more employees but also
by growing the first level of human capital which has a major impact on increasing
the first level of employment and
using more and more emerging
technical developments. .
Human development can be achieved by
improving many aspects of human life, the most
important of which is the
development of human resources, especially the range of
training and respectable lifestyles. BPS has designed a popular metric to measure the
improvement of relevant human resources known as the Human Development Index
(HDI) or Human Development Index (HDI) to publish it
(HDI).
From the results of the
Population Census in
September 2020, Indonesia's population
is estimated at 270 million people. In 1961 Indonesia conducted
its first population census and the population
continues to increase every year. From the
results of the 2020 Population Census it is
known that there may be
a further population of around 56 million
from these results also obtained
within 10 years or an average
of 26 million humans every year
throughout the year. 2010 to 2020. The price of population
growth in Indonesia for 10 years from 2010 to 2020 reached an average of
1 25% according to the year. This
percentage decreased compared to the
increase in population prices in the previous
10 years from 2000 to 2010 of 1 49%.
The cost of offering
the assets needed for human progress will increase
as the economy grows. Growing assets with good
asset allocation and a much wider
distribution of opportunities especially on activity opportunities
will encourage people to push
higher and better. On the other hand the
growth in the number of individuals
leads to a twofold increase in the amount of
money available. The excessive level of human development has a major impact on the
capacity of society to understand
and manipulate financial enhancement assets both in the era and in the company as the main technique for promoting financial
development.��������
DKI Jakarta Province got the highest score in the Human Development Index 80 76, while
the use of
aid from Papua Province got the lowest score 60 84. The completion of the
Human Development Index for Papua Province
has changed its reputation from bad to light because
last year, although it was
only kilometers but below. North
Sumatra's human development
continues to increase from year
to year, ranking twelfth with a Human Development Index of
71 74. This number is added with
assistance for the use of
0 56 percent which is an increase
of 0 79 percent compared to 2018.������
North Sumatra has a much higher human population than many other provinces
in Indonesia. However, in North
Sumatra, it can be seen that
every district/city has better human resources. Today's challenge is not only the Human Development Index but also inequality
because the Regency/City Human
Development Index in North Sumatra is not light with
certain extremes and moderates. Why is it
so difficult to improve the
standard of living in the Districts/Cities of North
Sumatra and does the monetary growth
of poverty and direct per capita expenditures have an impact
on the human development of each Regency/City Area? The author
is interested in seeing how big
the impression of monetary growth
in poverty and direct expenditure per capita on the
human development index based on the
description. For this reason, this research
takes the title "ANALYSIS OF FACTORS THAT IMPRESSION THE HUMAN
DEVELOPMENT INDEX IN INCREASING INDONESIAN ECONOMIC GROWTH IN NORTH SUMATRA
PROVINCE".
METHOD
With this, the
researcher will analyze the factors
that influence the Human Development Index in Improving
Indonesia's Economic Growth in North Sumatra Province secondary data was used in this
study, as well as panel data analysis.
Using panel data has two advantages (Verbeek in Firdaus
2018), namely: The number of observations increases when time series and
cross-section data are combined
in panel data.
Reduces the possibility
of identification errors. Panel data is superior in
detecting and assessing impacts that cannot be
addressed using time series or
cross sections alone. Individual heterogeneity can be controlled
using panel data.
The panel data used in this
study is a mixture of time series
data from 2017 to 2020 and a cross section
of 33 districts/cities in North Sumatra collected from the Central Statistics
Agency (BPS) of North Sumatra.
RESULTS AND DISCUSSION
Gross Domestic Product
(GDP) is a measure of the government's
success in utilizing existing resources, and can be
used for planning and decision
making. The greater the potential source of regional income, the higher the
regional GDP will be. Based on GRDP at
fixed prices, Indonesia's GRDP fluctuated from 2010 to 2019, and the COVID-19 outbreak drastically reduced Indonesia's GRDP to 2.07% in 2020. Between 2016 and 2020, Central and South Sulawesi contributed the most to GRDP Indonesia. For four consecutive years, these states
together with Gorontalo have made the
largest contribution to Indonesia's GRDP.
Therefore, if we look
at the GRDP of the Indonesian state as a whole at a fixed price
in 2000, it can be concluded that
the GRDP can increase or the
GRDP of each state of Indonesia can decrease. GRDP (Gross Domestic Product) is caused
by several factors, including wealth in the form
of economic resources (natural wealth) and the population's
ability (HR) to use production technology and process regional wealth. The tendency to disperse
GRDP control and uneven growth rates
lead to uneven
development between regions. In 2020 the GRDP of Indonesia and several other states
experienced a decline but Central Sulawesi showed positive results.
North Sumatra's
GRDP slowed 0.05 percent in
the fourth quarter of 2020 compared to the
third quarter of 2020. (q-to-q). From the production
side, this was caused by
the decline in the Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries
Business Fields by 2-10 percent. The export component of goods
and services, which slowed by
259 percent, was the cause of
the slowdown in spending. North Sumatra and Riau provinces will dominate the
economic structure of Sumatra Island in 2020. North
Sumatra Province provides the largest contribution
to the Gross
Domestic Product of Sumatra Island (24-06 percent)
followed by Riau Province (21-62 percent) and South Sumatra Province (13-60 percent) .
There are several factors that contribute to the growth
of a country. The
Human Development Index is one
that can be utilized (HDI). This indicator is used by
Indonesia to assess the government's capacity and as a target for future national
development goals. The
HDI consists of three elements: the average age
of the population,
the average schooling, and per capita expenditure. If all three components
have improved, progress has been made; however, it must be
determined whether the objectives have been met
and how important
the development is. The increase in HDI in
2020 in Indonesia is due to an increase
in the elements of UHH and aspects
of education if one looks
at the three
aspects that make up the
index. This year the UHH of
the Indonesian people rose from 0-13 years to 71-47 years, up from
last year's 71-34 years. In the last 10 years, the trend continues
to increase. Indonesia's UHH figure in 2010 is still below
70 years.
From the analyzed data, we can see that
the data can help us identify
the impact of the PE variable
on per capita income and the
poverty level variable on the Human Development Index. Multiple linear regression analysis using views10 program.
The results of multiple linear regression analysis and traditional
acceptance tests from testing using the eviews10 program are as follows.
The value of the
t statistic in the table can be
determined by using a partial test (test) which
is suitable for a significant level of 5%. It is
possible to calculate all PE variables simultaneously using regression analysis. Variable Income per capita and Human Development Index Poverty
Level of North Sumatra Province.
a. The results showed that the PE variable
t count t table is the t count
PE variable. Also, the significance of the t-test,
which yielded 0.02 significance with a standard significance of 0.05, was clarified.
The significant PE then decreased by 0.05. As a result, Ho was rejected, while Ha was approved. Consequently,
it can be
concluded that PE has little impact on
HDI in North Sumatra Province.
The t-count value of the poverty
level variable is t-count t-table, according to the
results of data processing. The significance of the significant
t test is 0 0021, and the standard
of significance is 0 05. So Ho is rejected and
Ha is accepted if the significance
value of the poverty level is less than
0 05 It can be stated that
the poverty rate in North Sumatra Province has a considerable impact on the
human development index.
CONCLUSION
The Provincial Government of North Sumatra must cooperate with the Regency/City Government to further
optimize capacity and realize the
education budget in accordance with the provisions, namely 20% for quality improvement in the field of
education such as providing adequate educational facilities for various types
of educational assistance, both in the form of
outstanding scholarships and scholarships for underprivileged communities. able to repair buildings
and reorganize education.����
Improving the Human Development
Index in the districts/cities of North
Sumatra through increasing public consumption through the People's
Business Credit (KUR), the use of pre-employment
cards and convenience for micro and small
companies to obtain halal certification (UMK).
Economic growth accompanied by equitable development is expected to
encourage equitable development in all districts/cities to achieve economic
growth that is in line with
human development.��
The government should increase the budget
content in order to offer more public
goods and services in greater quantity and quality
in districts/cities in North Sumatra Province in order to increase the
Human Development Index.
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Suliswanto M. SW. (2010). Impression of Gross Domestic
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